Dfs Gambling
The 2021 NFL Playoffs are here this weekend already, which is kind of amazing. First, because the NFL even made it this far during a global pandemic, and secondly, because the season went so fast.
It usually tends to be a blur, but this year specifically has seen days, weeks, and months blend together.
DFS meets all of the requirements of the fundamental definition of gambling. DFS has consideration (the player wagers money), prize (the player wins cash prizes), and chance (enough variance that any schmuck can win – and no DFS operator will tell you otherwise). Therefore, like poker, DFS is a gambling game. The presence of skill is irrelevant. - Daily fantasy sports contests like those operated by FanDuel and DraftKings face an uncertain future in New York after an appellate court ruled Thursday that the activity amounts to. Keep up with DFS community news, stats, trends and more with the RG Newsletter. This week's edition is headlined by core plays for the Divisional Round, the betting impact of the Harden trade and the SAO.
I suggest soaking up the final weeks, and if you haven’t been able to win some money through daily fantasy football, now could be a fine time to start. That, or just hit up the best NFL betting sites and make money from betting on NFL playoff games.
Heck, why not both?
Whatever the case, I am continuing my NFL DFS picks, sleepers, and lineup help into the playoffs, and the goal is to see you through to Super Bowl 55. Speaking of which, now may not be a bad time to bet on Super Bowl 55, either.
That said, this weekend’s batch of Wild Card games has been split up into two different three-game slates. This post will focus on Wild Card NFL DFS picks, sleepers, and lineup advice for Saturday’s contests.
Let’s get right into it, shall we?
- Josh Allen, QB, Bills ($7.5k)
- Jonathan Taylor, RB, Colts ($7.9k)
- Stefon Diggs, WR, Bills ($7.7k)
- Rob Gronkowski, TE, Buccaneers ($3.9k)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense ($3.3k)
It’s the NFL playoffs, so you won’t find many plays that are truly bad. I think it’s important to separate the good from the great, though, and it may require you paying up a bit.
It likely starts with Josh Allen, who is probably going to put up numbers even if he loses to the Colts this week. He’s got one of the best fantasy matchups by the numbers on Saturday, and he is red hot at the moment.
That, and nobody else really stands out. Tom Brady is also on fire, and Russell Wilson is capable of going off, but both of their matchups look terrible on paper.
Diggs is a stacking option with Allen, and due to his high floor and immense upside, I don’t really see a way around him. Chris Godwin may be a stud out of necessity if Mike Evans can’t go this week, of course.
Mike Evans could play this Saturday and his knee has no structural damage pic.twitter.com/kabosv9Jof
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) January 4, 2021It sounds like Evans has a chance to play, but this will be a situation to monitor.
Taylor is the most expensive running back ahead of Saturday’s 2021 NFL Wild Card games, and he also has the best matchup. He also just went ham in week 17.
Paying for Taylor is probably a must on Saturday’s slate, but if he’s going to be super chalky, I’d entertain the fade.
Tight end is a trash heap, but The Gronk could be more active than usual if Evans is out or even limited. I’d stick with the Bucs when it comes to the defense, too. They get to face Alex Smith and a Washington offense that ranked 25th in scoring on the year.
Epl Dfs Picks
- Philip Rivers, QB, Colts ($5.4k)
- J.D. McKissic, RB, Washington ($4.8k)
- Gabriel Davis, WR, Bills ($4k)
- Jack Doyle, TE, Colts ($2.9k)
- Washington Football Team Defense ($2.4k)
I probably will just roster Josh Allen in most of my Wild Card NFL DFS lineups, but if you prefer to save, Rivers is your best bet.
He’s got the second-best overall matchup on the board, and if you actually realize Seattle is better than their season ranking, he probably is in the best spot. This game also has the best total (52) of Saturday’s games per most NFL betting websites, so getting cheaper exposure to it might make sense.
The Buccaneers are probably winning on Saturday, which means a lot of dump-offs for McKissic.
Tampa Bay’s run defense is good, but game flow and a less than great ability to track running backs out of the backfield has led to them ranking dead last in receptions allowed to backs this year.
Davis is very interesting, and you can also consider John Brown ($4.7k) here. Davis just saves more money. Both are in play if Cole Beasley remains sidelined.
Gambling Log Sheet
Josh Allen says Cole Beasley is going to do whatever he can to get back onto the field #Bills
— Maddy Glab (@MadGlab) December 30, 2020Tight end has been awful all year, and it’s no different in Saturday’s Wild Card games. Logan Thomas has the best PPR role, but his matchup isn’t great. I can see splitting the ownership between him and Gronk, but Doyle is in the best NFL DFS environment and saves you cash.
Washington is likely to lose this week, but their defense is pretty good. They own a top-10 pass rush and the league’s best pass defense. They’re even solid against the run.
Tom Brady can take some sacks and has turned the ball over 13 times in 2020. The cheap price tag and potential to do a little damage makes them a viable punt.
- QB: Josh Allen – Bills ($7.5k)
- RB: Jonathan Taylor – Colts ($7.9k)
- RB: Ronald Jones II – Buccaneers ($5.5k)
- WR: Stefon Diggs – Bills ($7.7k)
- WR: Antonio Brown – Buccaneers ($6.1k)
- WR: Gabriel Davis – Bills ($4k)
- TE: Jack Doyle – Colts ($2.9k)
- FLEX: J.D. McKissic – Washington ($4.8k)
- DEF: Buccaneers ($3.3k)
This is my favorite Wild Card NFL DFS lineup for Saturday, January 9th. I think there’s a decent chance the Bills get upset, but I still think that game features the most scoring upside.
Allen has wrecked all year, and I bet he does further damage.
Stacking him with some receivers makes sense, and Diggs, at a minimum, feels necessary. You can run it back for further exposure in that game with Davis like I am, as well as Taylor and Doyle from the other side.
Taylor just offers the type of upside no other running back on this slate can. His price stinks, but he’s going to be worth it on this slate. You can absolutely consider nice value plays like Chris Carson, Cam Akers, and the like, but I won’t force them.
Instead, I love the PPR upside associated with McKissic as he plays from behind. In turn, I think Ronald Jones gets fed, both early to open things up for the Bucs and late to close out a likely win.
Antonio Brown is going to be viable, no matter what. He should be a bit more contrarian if Mike Evans suits up, but he’ll likely be a must if Evans is out. Either way, he makes a lot of sense.
Tampa Bay’s defense is likely to feast here. They can be dominant when they’re focused, and with it being the playoffs, I doubt they just sit back and let Alex Smith shred them.
NFL Wild Card Betting Advice
Hopefully, my NFL DFS picks for Saturday’s Wild Card games can help you out a bit. However, my logic here actually extends to the NFL betting side of things, too.
It doesn’t always have to, but if you can marry DFS with sports betting, that can be a fun and profitable endeavor.
For me, I see the Bucs winning pretty easily, the Seattle vs. L.A. game being a defensive battle, and the Colts vs. Bills game being pretty explosive.
That largely keeps me off the Rams game. Maybe you can try the defenses or running backs out there, but that isn’t really the game I’d go after in DFS. But on a three-game slate, maybe stacking that game is exactly what you should do, just in the name of being different.
Nfl Dfs Picks
My avoidance there tells you to bet the Under, but I think there’s a decent chance the Rams win. While I like the Bills game to feature a ton of points, its explosive nature also leaves Buffalo a bit vulnerable, as well.
Is Dfs Gambling
If you want to parlay any of my NFL DFS advice into some bets, feel free to hit up our sports betting picks section. There, you’ll find upset picks, NFL locks, and individual Wild Card game betting previews.